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Monday,
 June 18, 2012.  Chaos and violence continue, a funeral for pilgrims 
turns into another bloodbath, Brett McGurk waves bye-bye, Camp Ashraf is
 strangely confusing to US State Dept spokesperson Victoria Nuland, and 
more.  
  
  
  
Wednesday is World Refugee Day.  UNHCR notes  that the last year alone saw an additional 800,000 refugees.  In the just released UNHCR Global Trends 2011 ,
 details such as 46% of refugees are under the age of 18, that three 
areas of concern are the displaced of Columbia, of the Democratic 
Republic of Congo and of Iraq, and that the Middle East and North Africa
 have a larger number of refugees than the Americas and and Asia and 
Pacific combined.  (Africa has the largest number of refugees with 2.1 
million to the Middle East and North Africa's 1.9 million.) Through the 
end of last year, Iraq could claim 1,428,3000 refugees.  Only 
Afghanistan topped that figure (Afghanistan had 2.6 million).  
Yesterday,  Oliver Maksan (Aid to the Church in Need) noted 
 Iraqi Christian refugees in Jordan like Lina who declares, "I never 
want to go back to Iraq, ever." Why?  Because she was almost killed.  
Because her nephew was among the many killed in the October 31, 2010 
attack on Our Lady of Salvation Church in Baghdad. NPR's Deborah Amos 
has documented the refugee crisis and written the book on it with  Eclipse of the Sunnis: Power, Exile, and Upheaval in the Middle East  (now out in soft cover -- available at Amazon right now for $6.40 ).  We'll try to note World Refugee Day   again tomorrow. 
  
But turning to the big news of the day . . .  
  
. . . the ridiculous nomination of Brett McGurk to be the US Ambassador to Iraq. 
Andre Tartar (New York magazine) reported yesterday, "Just days after seven Republican senator on the Foreign Relations Committee urged President Obama to pick a new nominee  for the ambassadorship to Iraq, the White House is doubling down on Brett McGurk.  Speaking on CNN's State of the Union 
 this morning, senior White House adviser David Plouffe said, 'We've 
made this nomination and we think he will ably serve as ambassador'." 
Plouffe sounded as confident in the nomination as Gina Chon when she wrote in her fantasy e-mail ,
 "The question I continue to have is when will the conversation return 
to issues?  Because when they do, I know Brett will become the next 
ambassador to Iraq."  She wasn't much of a reporter (the Wall St. Journal  allowed her to save face by announcing her resignation last week) and it turns out she's not psychic either. 
  
  
  
  
  
CNN makes the news of the no-longer nomination a "Gut Check" for the day.  Jon Swaine (Telegraph of London) notes ,
 "Flirtatious emails between Mr McGurk and Ms Chon from 2008, when both 
were working in Baghdad and married to different spouses, were leaked 
last month, throwing his nomination into crisis. [. . .]  Ms Chon, who 
worked at the Wall Street Journal , resigned last week after the
 newspaper said she had broken its in-house rules by sharing details of 
forthcoming articles with an outsider [McGurk]."  Among the questions 
McGurk would have faced had the process gone forward were what, if any, 
information was leaked to Gina   Chon in her capacity as a reporter.  
With leaks being a big issue in DC these days and with Chon and McGurk 
mentioning trading favors in their e-mails to one another, this issue 
was on the minds of some.  Ted Barrett and Kate Bolduan (CNN) point out ,
 "In an e-mail to friends Friday, she said the e-mails she traded with 
McGurk 'which were exposed just before Brett's confirmation hearing 
reflected flirtatious banter and nothing more'."  
  
Emily Heil (Washington Post) reminds,
 "The e-mails were not the only hurdle to Senate confirmation for 
McGurk. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) had previously criticized his 
handling of U.S. policy in Iraq, including the inability of U.S. and 
Iraqi negotiators to reach a deal that would have left a small U.S. 
military presence behind."  There were many reasons not to support him. 
 That includes the e-mails which made it very unlikely that Iraqi women 
could access the US Embassy.  While stupid sob sisters in the US would 
huff, "They got married!," that doesn't mean a damn thing in Iraq.  That
 he entered into an affair with Chon while he was married and while she 
was does matter in Iraq.  And Iraqi women would have to fear accusations
 -- which could   result in the so-called 'honor' killings -- if they 
didn't avoid the embassy.  In addition, as a community member in Tikrit pointed out 
 early this morning, the e-mails meant that Grand Ayatollah Ali 
al-Sistani and other clerics probably wouldn't meet with him.  He 
wouldn't just be seen as a non-believer or follower of another religion,
 his actions portrayed in the e-mails would mean they would shun him.  
You also have to wonder that since he was e-mailing Chon about his "blue
 balls" before they'd slept together or kissed, exactly how were US 
State Dept employees who were women going to be treated by new boss 
McGurk?  He couldn't speak Arabic.  Iraqiya -- the political slate that 
won the most votes in the 2010 elections -- was against him and lodged 
an official complaint objecting to his being the new US   Ambassador.   
  
  
  
  
McGurk took credit for the surge. 
 The only aspect of the surge that was successful was what Gen David 
Petraeus implemented and US service members carried out.  That was not 
what McGurk and other civilians were tasked with.  Their part of the 
surge?  The military effort was supposed to create a space that the 
politicians would put to good use by passing legislation.  It didn't 
happen.  McGurk's part of the surge was a failure.He
 revealed incredible ignorance about al Qaeda in Iraq and seemed unaware
 that, in 2011, then-CIA Director (now Secretary of Defense) Leon 
Panetta told Congress it amounted to less than 1,000 people   or that in
 February of this year, the Director of National Intelligence declared 
that a significnat number (of that less than 1,000) had gone to Syria.Though
 the press has reported for years about Nouri's refusal to bring Sahwa 
members into the process (give them jobs) and how he refuses to pay 
these security forces (also known as "Awakenings" and "Sons of Iraq"), 
McGurk told Congress that Nouri was paying them all and had given 
government jobs to approximately 70,000.  (For point of reference, in 2008, Gen David Petraues told Congress there were approximately 91,000 Sahwa.)  
  
Links
 go to the three snapshot where we reported on the hearing.  Those 
issues and more go to his qualifications.  He is not the 'expert' the 
White House has made him out to be. 
  
Adam Entous and Janet Hook (Wall St. Journal) add,
 "Some Republican senators said Mr. McGurk lacked the experience to head
 a major embassy in a volatile region.  Mr. McGurk, 39 years old, hasn't
 served as ambassador to any other countries." They also quote James 
Jeffrey making some idiotic remarks.  Word to Jeffrey, when you're a US 
diplomat and you put your foot in your mouth like you did last week 
(signing the letter declaring Brett McGurk "the best man for the job" --
 not person), probably a good idea to lower your profile. You have no 
idea how many women in the State Dept your little letter pissed off -- 
rightfully so.  Matthew Lee (AP) plays nice 
 insisting Jeffrey "and his   two predecssors in Baghdad" along with the
 administration "had staunchly defended McGurk as the right person for 
the job". But Matthew Lee is aware of the actual word choice since he
 reported on the letter Jeffrey, Chris Hill and Ryan Crocker sent, 
noting he was quoting from "a copy of the letter obtained by The 
Associated Press" when he included this statement the 'diplomats' signed
 off on, "Brett is the right man for the job. "  Funny, at a time 
when Hillary Clinton is the second female Secretary of State, you might 
think the notion of "right man for the job" would have flown out the 
window.  Again, women at the State Dept, career employees, were not 
pleased with the letter and if Jeffrey feels the need to speak again, he
 might want to issue an apology for his word choice.  That would   be 
the 'diplomatic' thing to do.   
  
He should have
 stepped down as soon as the e-mails became public.  It was idiotic not 
to.  What is acceptable in the US really didn't matter though CJR and 
others didn't seem to get it, so gripped with their own feelings of 
superiority and xenophobia. 
  
What mattered was the way Iraqis would respond to a US Ambassador with that history. 
  
That
 was the most important thing.  Not what the US press thought, what the 
Iraqis would think.  He was supposed to be the US Ambassador to Iraq but
 for some reason the US press repeatedly chose to ignore Iraqis and to 
ignore how Iraqis would react to him.   This is not a minor thing and 
the host country should be considered with all nominations.  That 
doesn't mean, for example, we don't nominate an openly gay person to be 
an ambassador to a country where there is tremendous homophobia.  It 
does mean that we have to be aware of it and we have to ask, "Can we 
send a message that helps the LGBT community in the host country with 
this potential pick?"  If we can, it can very well be worth it. 
  
The
 US government, with the illegal war, turned Iraq over to exile thugs 
and thugs.  They did so at the expense of Iraq's educated class (why do 
you think the 'brain drain' took place to begin with -- they left 
because of who the US installed).  In the process, they destroyed the 
rights of women and they turned a secular country into a fundamentalist 
one.  And someone thought the answer was to send an adulterer -- who 
committed adultry in the host country?  Do they not get how insulting 
that was?  Does no one in the administration understand the Arab world? 
  
Today Reuters notes ,
 "McGurk's withdrawal throws a fresh question mark over Washington's 
uncertain relations with Iraq following the departure of U.S. forces 
last year." 
I'm sure it does.  I'm also sure that confirming McGurk would have been seen as an offense by a significant number of Iraqis. 
  
  
  
  
Brett,
 all joking aside, I feel for you man. I know how it is to have State 
turn on you, push you out of a job and all that. Despite some water 
under the bridge between us, I think maybe we could get along, you know,
 maybe hang out now that both of us have afternoons free. Whattaya say, 
we leave the wives at home and hit a few rooftop bars, see what comes 
up, um, goes down, aw dammit, I just did it again didn't I?But we're
 moving on. Who's next to claim the head job at the world's largest and 
most expensive embassy? The previous landlord, Jim Jeffrey, quit the job
 so quickly that he didn't even wait for his replacement to arrive. Now 
everyone else in Iraq falls under a State Department policy requiring 
the outgoing person to stay on for a week overlap with his/her 
replacement, but like lots of things at State, that only applies to the 
little people.
 
So who will it be? One rumor is that Obama will nominate Meghan O'Sullivan. Sully, like McGurk, is another Bush administration left over covered in Iraqi blood.  
  
Aseel Kami (Reuters) reports
 that as mourners gathered in Baquba funeral tents to pay their respects
 to pilgrims killed in recent violence, a suicide bomber blew himself up
 and claimed at least 15 other lives.  Deutsche Welle explains ,
 "The blast occurred in a tnet where mourners, including several 
high-ranking armed forces members, were paying respects to the family of
 a Shiite tribal leader in Baquba, authorities said."  Mohammed Tawfeeq (CNN) adds ,
 "Neither of the military officials -- identified by police officials as
 Lt. Gen. Ali Ghaidan, commander of the Iraqi army's ground forces, and 
Abdul Ameer   al-Zaidi, commander of Diyala military operations -- were 
killed, though at least three guards for Ghaidan died." KUNA offers ,
 "The source told KUNA that a suicide bomber, wearing an explosive belt,
 blew up himself while being inside a mourning house in Baquba, the 
largest city in Diyala."  BBC News counts  forty injured.  AFP notes 
 the death toll rose to 22 with fifty injured and that these two totals 
were verified by Baquba General Hospital's Dr. Ahmed Ibrahim.  
  
   
Wednesday, Iraq was slammed with bombings which Mohammed Tawfeeq (CNN) reported  the Ministry of the Interior stated claimed 93 lives and left three hundred and 12 injured.  Of Saturday's bombings, Mohammed Tawfeeq (CNN) reported ,
 "Two car bombs targeted Shiite pilgrims Saturday in Baghdad, killing at
 least 32 people and injuring 68 others, police said."  Ahlul Bayt News Agency put  the injured toll at "more than 140."   As Kitabat noted  earlier this week, the pilgrims were taking part in the holy journey on the anniversary of the death of Imam Musa al-Kadhim.  Deutsche Welle noted  Saturday,
 "Crowds carried symbolic coffins through the streets as pilgrims beat 
their chests in mourning as they made their way toward the mosque's two 
gold domes." Jamal Hashim (Xinhua) explained ,
 "The pilgrims were marching on foot to return to their homes after they
 participated in the observation of one of the major Shiite rituals at 
Kadmiyah's masusoleum of Imam Mussa   al-Kadhim the 7th of the most 
sacred 12 Shiite Imams.  During the past few days, large crowds of 
pilgrims from Iraqi cities and some Muslim countries flocked to 
Kadhmiyah to observe the annual commemoration of the Imam's death."  
Hsahim also notes that Nouri's security measures included a ban on all 
vehicles in "and around the district of Kadhmiyah," as well as closing 
roads, dispatching military helicopters to fly overhead, adding 
checkpoints and dispatching "dozens of thousands of Iraqi security 
troops." AP quoted  Mohamed Ali who state, "There is no real security, no real searches."  
  
AFP notes
 that today's violence also included a Baquba roadside bombing which 
claimed the life of 1 police officer and left two more injured and a 
Baquba roadside bombing which claimed the life of 1 shepherd. 
  
Reporting on Saturday's attacks, Duraid Adnan and Tim Arango (New York Times) observed ,
 "The attacks represented an embarrassment to the army and police, and 
their top commander, Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki, and raised 
questions about the ability of Iraq's security forces to protect the 
population." And that's what happens when you refuse to name heads to 
the security ministries.  Nouri was named prime minister-designate in 
November 2010. Per the Constitution, he was supposed to name a
 Cabinet -- full, not partial -- within 30 days.  Failure to do so meant
 that someone else would be named prime minister-designate.  Instead of 
following the Constitution, Nouri was allowed to become prime minister 
in December 2010. The press assured   us that Nouri would quickly
 nominate people to head the security posts.  Iraqiya, at the same time,
 warned Nouri would avoid nominating anyone because then he could 
control the posts.  The minute he nominates someone, it goes to the 
Parliament.  If they vote to confirm the nominee, the nominee remains in
 office until the end of the term unless the nominee dies or resigns.  
Another way to remove the nominee (actually a minister at this point) 
would be for Parliament to vote them out of office.  You may remember 
that from December through May, Nouri attempted to get Deputy Prime 
Minister Saleh al-Mutlaq voted out of office; however, he wasn't able 
to.  It's very difficult to remove a minister without just cause.  By 
naming 'acting ministers,' Nouri ensures that they only occupy the post 
as long as they please him.  If you're an 'acting minister,' you haven't
 been approved by Parliament so Nouri can toss you aside as   he 
pleases.  (There are not "acting ministers" in the Iraqi Constitution.)
 AP quotes
 Brookings Doha Center's analyst and director Salman Shaikh stating, 
"Those behind the attacks, they've become more determined now and see 
more of an opportunity because of the dysfunctional political process." 
  
Jalal Talabani's been huffing all week.  We'll cover it tomorrow.   
  
  
  
For six weeks now, the last remaining residents of Camp Ashraf have been refusing to move.  Who?  May 30th ,  United Nations Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI) released "Report on Human Rights in Iraq: 2011 ." 
 As the report notes, Camp Ashraf is "over 3,000 residents affiliated 
with the People's Mujahedin of Iran (PMOI)" that are being moved to Camp
 Liberty.  These are Iranian dissidents who were welcomed into Iraq 
decades.  That changed with Nouri's Iraq.  The report notes the 36 
deaths when Nouri's forces went into the camp April 8, 2011 and that it 
followed the assault of July 2009.  The report notes that the   United 
Nations -- specifically UNAMI and UNHCR -- have been attempting to act 
"as an impartial facilitator" in moving the residents to Camp Liberty.  
Approximately 2,000 have been moved.  
  
The UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy to Iraq Martin Kobler declared June 11th ,
 "I urge the remaining residents of Camp Ashraf to relocate to Camp 
Hurriya without delay.  The relocation process should not be stalled.  I
 am concerned that there will be violence if the relocation doesn't 
recommence.  Any violence would be unacceptable.  I call on the 
Government of Iraq to avoid any forceful relocation.  Each relocation 
must be voluntary.  The United Nations supports only a peaceful, 
humanitarian solution and stands ready to facilitate." 
 
  
One
 of the main reasons the residents stopped the process is that they want
 the US to come and search the camp now because the US State Dept has 
made it an issue stating such a search will determine their 
classification of 'terrorist' or not 'terrorist.'   If you're late to 
the party, from the June 1st snapshot :    
 
 
Which takes us into legal news, it's a shock to the administration but most others saw the ruling coming.  Jamie Crawford (CNN) reports,
 "A federal appeals court has ordered Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
 to make a prompt decision on whether to remove an Iranian dissident 
group from the State Department's list of foreign terrorist 
organizations."  This was a unanimous decision handed down by the US 
Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.  Why was it 
unanimous?  Because the administration has been in violation for some 
time now.  James Vicini (Reuters)   reminds,
 "The appeals court ruled nearly two years ago that Clinton had violated
 the group's rights and instructed her to 'review and rebut' 
unclassified parts of the record she initially relied on and say if she 
regards the sources as sufficiently credible.  It said Clinton had yet 
to make a final decision."  The administration was in contempt.  The 
courts and the executive branch were in conflict.  (They still are.)  
What generally happens there is the court of appeals makes a united 
front because this is now a court issue (as opposed to the merits of the
 case from when it was heard earlier).  Unlike the executive branch, the
 judicial branch has no security forces.  So they want to send a message
 but they also want to do so without looking weak if the administration 
ignores them.  So since two months was the target date for the State 
Dept to finish a review on the MEK, they gave State four   months which,
 they hope, is more than enough time. However, the two months (as the 
judges know) was a guideline, not a promise.  State made very clear 
before the court that they were not promising two months.  So it could 
go on past four months.  Four months carries them into October.  If 
they're not complying by then, there's a good chance they won't.  
Whether Barack Obama wins a second term as US President or not, Hillary 
Clinton has already stated she was only doing one term as Secretary of 
State.  So when November arrives, if there's no decision, there won't be
 a rush for one.  If Barack wins re-election, he'll state that he has to
 find someone to oversee the department first.  If Barack loses, they've
 already blown off the appeals court for over two years now, continuing 
to blow them off for sixty more days will be a breeze. 
 
 
Nouri
 al-Maliki has twice attacked Camp Ashraf -- and done so -- both times 
-- while US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates was on the ground in 
Iraq.  He loathes the residents and has repeatedly attempted to force 
them back to Iran (where they would most likely be hamed and possibly 
put to death).  This is not an unreasonable request on their part.  If 
the US State Dept is declaring that a search must take place of Camp 
Ashraf and that the search will determine whether the group is terrorist
 or not, of course that search needs to take place immediately.  Not 
after they've relocated every resident and no one is there to say, 
"Wait! They're planting weapons!"  They being Nouri's forces.  The 
residents have been attacked by them twice, they have no reason to trust
 them.
 
  
An unidentified "senior U.S. official" tells Reuters,
 "We don't know why the MEK slowdown is underway."  Seriously?  It's no 
secret that they have requested that Camp Ashraf be searched now.  The 
US should do that.  If they want to follow up after as well, fine.  But 
this is a group of people who are spooked and spooked for good reason.  
They are being forced out of their home.  They are aware that the UN 
hasn't secured passage to other countries for those who've been 
transferred to Camp Liberty.  They are aware that Iran wants them and 
that Nouri is in close contact with Iran.  A search is a very simple 
thing that the US and the UN can conduct.  It doesn't have to be the 
final search but it would bring peace of mind to the residents, so you 
do it.  You don't fight   it, you don't play stupid.  If you're really 
not taking sides and you're attempting to do right by all, you do the 
search because you know (a) it will lower the stress and (b) it will 
allow the process of moving Ashraf residents to Liberty to start back 
up.  
  
Here's the statement US State Dept Victoria Nuland issued today: 
  
  
  
The
 United States remains concerned about the situation at Camp Ashraf and 
urges the residents of Camp Ashraf to resume full cooperation 
immediately with the Iraqi Government and United Nations Assistance 
Mission for Iraq (UNAMI). The United States also urges the Iraqi 
Government to intensify its efforts to fulfill its commitments to 
provide for the safety, security, and humanitarian treatment of the 
residents. 
With almost 2,000 former Camp 
Ashraf residents now relocated to Camp Hurriya, the peaceful closure of 
Camp Ashraf is achievable, but requires continued patience and practical
 engagement to be realized. Constructive offers must be met with a 
constructive spirit, and not with refusals or preconditions to engage in
 dialogue. Recent publicly-declared conditions for cooperation, 
including calls for the Department to inspect Camp Ashraf as a 
precondition for further relocations to Camp Hurriya, are an unnecessary
 distraction. 
The United States has made 
clear that cooperation in the closure of Camp Ashraf, the Mujahedin-e 
Khalq's (MEK's) main paramilitary base, is a key factor in determining 
whether the organization remains invested in its violent past or is 
committed to leaving that past behind. We fully support the path laid 
out by the United Nations for the peaceful closure of Camp Ashraf along 
with sustainable solutions for its former residents. The Camp residents 
and their leadership - both in Iraq and in Paris - should recognize this
 path as a safe and humane resolution to this situation. Only a peaceful
 implementation of the Iraqi government's decision to close the Camp is 
acceptable, and the Iraqi government bears the responsibility for the 
security and humane treatment of the individuals at Camp Ashraf. 
  
  
I find her statement less than genuine. 
  
  
  
  
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 
Monday, June 18, 2012 
Contaact: Murray Press Office 
(202) 224-2834 
  
VETERANS: Senator Murray to Introduce Women Veterans' and Other Health Care Improvment Act of 2012 
Legislation to strengthen VA's programs for female veterans and severely injured veterans who want to start families 
  
(Washington,
 D.C.) -- Tomorrow, U.S. Senator Patty Murray, Chairman of the Senate 
Veterans' Affairs Committee, will outline her new legislation, the Women
 Veterans and Other Health Care Improvement Act of 2012, legislation to 
strengthen VA's programs for female veterans and for severely injured 
veterans who want to start families.  Currently, VA's fertility 
treatment services do not meet the complex needs of severely wounded 
veterans.  The nature of the current conflict and increasing use of 
improvised explosive devices leaves servicemembers far more susceptible 
to blast injuries including spinal cord injury and trauma to the 
reproductive and urinary tracts.  Army data shows that between 2003 and 
2011 more than 600 soldiers experienced these life-changing battle 
injuries while serving in Iraq or Afghanistan.  As these injured 
servicemembers return home, they work to move forward with their lives 
and pursue their goals and   dreams. For some this includes starting 
their own family.  The Department of Defense and Tricare program are 
already able to provide fertility treatment
 to servicemembers with these injuries.  Senator Murray's new 
legislation would address these issues by enhancing fertility treatment 
and care at VA, and allowing for fertility treatment for spouses. 
Following Senator Murray's speech, a documentary
 highlighting the stories of 8 women veterans and the physical and 
emotional challenges they face as they transition home following 
military service will be shown. More on Senator Murray's Women Veterans 
and Other Health Care Improvement Act of 2012 HERE. 
  
WHO:        U.S. Senator Patty Murray 
  
WHAT:      
 Introduction of Women Veterans Health Care Improvement Act of 2012, 
screening of documentary that highlights the stories of 8 women vets 
  
WHEN:      TOMORROW: Tuesday, June 19th, 2012 
                 2:30 PM ET/ 11:30 AM PST 
  
WHERE:    Russell 325  
  
### 
  
Kathryn Robertson  
Press Assistant  
Office of U.S. Senator Patty Murray 
448 Russell Senate Office Building 
Washington, D.C. 20510 
202-224-2834 
  
  
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